Archive for December, 2009
Forecasting philosophies
The forex market keeps changing always. It is not an easy task to forecast a forex market. Even though it proves to be a tough task, a large number of forex traders and forex brokers have achieved success on a daily basis. The forecasting of a behavior is always just a guess but it proves to be interesting.
Two basic philosophies are the basic in forecasting market conditions. The two philosophies are fundamental and technical analysis. Let us discuss on both these philosophies.
A look at the past market data can always be a very intimidating factor to anyone who trades as the data keep changing regularly in short intervals of time. There are some analysts who are very smart, these people understand trends that could happen over a longer period of time and they skip all insignificant details. These analysts have always looked at a bigger picture. The fundamental analysis contains a lot of detail but it is very precise in predicting the forex market. The fundamental analysis of a forex market is always done with regard to the extrinsic factors. These factors could include such as movements in the social circle or the government circle. The weather also proves to be an extrinsic factor. A person who is expert at fundamental analysis can predict a drop off in the market if the government in a particular country is very much not stable. The fundamental analyst can predict that the market will have an increase if in case a leader who is very popular has won the recent elections. The fundamental analyst takes into consideration various factors that could play a role in affecting the economy of a country. All the factors that are related with affecting a country’s economy play an equal role in affecting the market and the exchange rates.
The past data of a market is analyzed in order to predict the future trend in a market when technical analysis is deployed. Previous market trends are sure to impact the trends of the market in future. And forex market is no exception. People have always been same. Right from the dawn of forex market, people tend to buy or sell and also there is always a response to stimuli.
A wider knowledge of people of different countries is required to predict trends in respective countries. The prediction of how the Euro fares can be a tough task as many countries use the same currency. People who forecast the market trends need to have such wide knowledge in order to predict the market successfully. The wide knowledge makes it an easier task to predict future trends.
The reputed forex traders use both the techniques to predict the trends. If a country has been hit by a hurricane then the trader can predict a down turn as it would have weakened the economy.
Facts about FOREX trading
There are quite a large number of questions that comes in most of the trader’s mind about FOREX trading. We will try to give answers to some of the questions. So the questions that are usually put up are as follows:
What are the things that are required in order to get started in the field of foreign currency trading? What are the certain things, which are going to help you in getting what you want to? What is the thing that is so unique about trading with foreign currency (or more popularly known as FOREX)? Why it is the only market of the world where you don’t need thousands and thousands of dollars in order to get started? What so special about this trading market? What is the criterion that separates it from the other trading markets of the world? What is the reason that this particular market of trading is operational for 24 hours in a day?
These are some of the questions that are being put up in day to day life of a trader.
So starting from the first question, the things that are being required in order to get started with the process of trading with currency are a basic type of computer and an internet connection. These are the only two things that are needed by the trader, in order make large amount of money on the market fronts. Things that are going to help you with your currency trading are as follows: you can make good use of a trading platform or you can hire a broker for yourself. But the most important thing that is going to help is you yourself. You need to have lot of confidence in yourself. There are quite a large number of things that are really very unique about making a currency trade in FOREX market. The first one is that you don’t need to put in large amount of cash in order to get started. The other one is that this market deals with various currencies of world, and these currencies are always being traded in form of pairs. In FOREX market, there are quite a large number of people who are willing to come and join, so that they can also earn really big profits. If you are a newbie and don’t have any idea about FOREX trading, then you can also make use of a trading broker. These brokers are said to be available for free of cost, but in reality brokers are been provided with a fixed amount of commission or a fee. This market is operational for 24 hours in a single day and that too for seven days in a week, so u have the liberty to make a trade at any specific point of time.
Daily Review 18/11/2009
USD Dollar (USD)
The Dollar gained versus most majors as Industrial Production came out weaker, lowering risk appetite. Industrial Production came out 0.1% versus 0.4% expected. PPI came out weaker with 0.3% versus 0.6% forecast. TIC Long-Term Purchases came out better with 40.7B versus 27.3B expected. NASDAQ and Dow Jones rose slightly by 0.27% and 0.29%. Crude gained by 0.68% closing at 79.44$ a barrel and Gold (XAU) remained almost unchanged with 0.16% change closing at 1140.5$ an ounce. Today, Building Permits are expected higher with 0.59M versus 0.57M prior and Core CPI is expected with 0.1% versus 0.2% prior. Housing Starts are expected higher with 0.61M versus 0.59M and Crude Inventories are expected with 1.2M versus 1.8M prior.
EURO (EUR)
The Euro weakened versus the Dollar and the Pound as risk appetite weakened and ECB\’s president Trichet said a strong Dollar is important for the world economy. European Trade Balance came out better than expected with 6.8B versus -0.9B expected. EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.4806 and with a high of 1.4998. Today, European Current Account is expected with 0.6B versus -1.3B prior. ECB President Trichet will speak in Frankfurt.
EUR/USD – Last: 1.4870
|
Resistance |
1.4900 |
1.4925 |
1.4955 |
|
Support |
1.4810 |
1.4740 |
1.4703 |
British Pound (GBP)
The Pound remained almost unchanged versus the Dollar as CPI figures came out better than expected but Industrial Production in the U.S lowered investors Risk Appetite. CPI came out 1.5% versus 1.4% expected and RPI came out -0.8% versus -0.9% expected. Overall, GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.6755 and a high of 1.6872. Today, MPC Meeting Minutes will be released. CBI Industrial Order Expectations are expected with -47 versus -51 prior.
GBP/USD – Last: 1.6800
|
Resistance |
1.6850 |
1.6900 |
1.6955 |
|
Support |
1.6750 |
1.6670 |
1.6625 |
Japanese Yen (JPY)
The Yen gained versus the Euro and weakened versus the Dollar as risk appetite lowered after Industrial Production in the U.S came out weaker than expected. Overall, USD/JPY traded with a low of 88.73 and a high of 89.53 and EUR/JPY traded with a low of 132.44 and a high of 133.58. Today, All Industries Activity is expected with -0.1% versus 0.9% prior.
USD/JPY-Last: 89.17
|
Resistance |
89.65 |
90.00 |
90.18 |
|
Support |
88.80 |
88.60 |
88.25 |
Canadian dollar (CAD)
The Canadian Dollar dropped as Risk Appetite weakened following U.S production data. Overall, USD/CAD traded with a low of 1.0464 and a high of 1.0617. Today, Canadian CPI is expected with 0.2% versus 0% prior and Core CPI is expected with 0% versus 0.3% prior.
CAD/USD – Last: 1.0535
|
Resistance |
1.0620 |
1.0680 |
1.0735 |
|
Support |
1.0475 |
1.0450 |
1.0425 |
Research by http://www.ufxbank.com






























































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